2010年4月26日星期一

Tinderbox of trouble

where fragil Inflatable Bouncer central author and ethnic and clan divis threaten to engulf the countri in violenc - like Afghanistan,Expert ar alreadi call Kyrgyzstan a fail state. or neighbour Tajikistan where civil war rage in 1992-97. "It is veri dangerous," sai Alexei Malashenko, central Asia expert at the Carnegi Moscow Center, who point to the scope for Islamist agitation.

few if ani foresaw that what start as a protest against a rise in electr price in the remot copper and gold belt of Kyrgyzstan would develop into a full-blown revolut that toppl a central Asian governmentW hen demonstr took to the street of Tala just over three week ago..

no on know where the event unleash by the revolt will end. State institut have all but stop functioning,Now. compet clan ar mobilis support and sporad violenc is take on an omin ethnic logic. Russian presid Dmitri Medvedev even warn that the mountain countri of 5.4m could becom "a second Afghanistan" if the violenc went unchecked. Russia, the US and China ar all struggl to keep up with event and maintain their influence.

a secur threat that Roza Otunbayeva,Russia and neighbour Uzbeki-stan ar express concern about the possibl of large-scal ethnic violence. head of the interim govern that took power after the revolt, ha insist is exaggerated.

the capital,But in an interview with the Financi Time last week in her offic in Bishkek. she also acknowledg that the consequ were unpredict from the start, saying: "The revolut wa like a volcano explod in the country." The oust presid Kurmanbek Bakiyev ha meanwhil warn from exil that "onli death" could termin hi right to power.

a former prime minist turn opposit leader,Mr Bakiyev. came to power in the 2005 "tulip revolution", on of a string that swept the former Soviet Union and replac Moscow-ori leader with pro-western ones. While initi he wa laud as a democrat, Mr Bakiyev' rule wa mark by a familiar pattern in the region, becom mire in corrupt and clan-bas nepotism.

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